Odds To Win The Masters - April 3, 2013

April 3, 2013

Given his early season performance, the smart money is on Tiger Woods to win the Masters in 2013, and the odds reflect that. Oddsmakers are offering an incredible 5/2, giving Tiger an effective 28% chance of winning.

It’s a mystery to me, however, that Rory and Phil are the next two on the list, coming in at 9/1 and 11/1, respectively. That gives them a 10% and 8.3% effective chance of winning. I don’t know what Rory has done this year to encourage the notion that his game is in a place to win the Masters. It seems far more likely to me that he misses the cut. Phil at least has won this year, but I fear his announcement that he has something special cooked up for Augusta, club-wise. When the guy’s not attempting an impossible shot or spraying it all over the course, he’s experimenting with clubs. I’m a huge fan anyway.

In keeping with the trend of the last five years, the eventual winner likely will come from the middle of the pack. Here are the odds for the winner just prior to the Masters for the last five years:

Bubba Watson: 40/1
Charl Schwartzel: 50/1
Phil Mickelson: 9/1
Angel Cabrera: 100/1
Trevor Immelman: 50/1

Given those numbers, the 2013 winner likely will be in the 40/1 - 50/1 range. In that list are a number of worthies: Graeme McDowell, Hunter Mahan, Ian Poulter, Jason Dufner, Nick Watney, Rickie Fowler, Sergio Garcia, Henrick Stenson, Jason Day, Steve Stricker and Webb Simpson.

I don’t think anyone would be surprised to see those names slipping on a green jacket on Sunday. Ok. We might be surprised to see a jacket on Garcia.

The rest of the odds are below, along with the effective percentage chance to win calculated from those odds:

Odds To Win The Masters 2013
Player Odds % Chance
Tiger Woods 5/2  28.57%
Rory McIlroy 9/1  10.00%
Phil Mickelson 11/1  8.33%
Brandt Snedeker 18/1  5.26%
Charl Schwartzel 18/1  5.26%
Justin Rose 18/1  5.26%
Luke Donald 25/1  3.85%
Adam Scott 28/1  3.45%
Keegan Bradley 28/1  3.45%
Lee Westwood 28/1  3.45%
Matt Kuchar 28/1  3.45%
Bubba Watson 33/1  2.94%
Dustin Johnson 33/1  2.94%
Louis Oosthuizen 33/1  2.94%
Graeme McDowell 40/1  2.44%
Hunter Mahan 40/1  2.44%
Ian Poulter 40/1  2.44%
Jason Dufner 40/1  2.44%
Nick Watney 40/1  2.44%
Rickie Fowler 40/1  2.44%
Sergio Garcia 40/1  2.44%
Henrik Stenson 50/1  1.96%
Jason Day 50/1  1.96%
Steve Stricker 50/1  1.96%
Webb Simpson 50/1  1.96%
Bill Haas 66/1  1.49%
Bo Van Pelt 66/1  1.49%
Martin Kaymer 66/1  1.49%
Padraig Harrington 66/1  1.49%
Ernie Els 80/1  1.23%
Geoff Ogilvy 80/1  1.23%
Jim Furyk 80/1  1.23%
Mark Wilson 80/1  1.23%
Peter Hanson 80/1  1.23%
Zach Johnson 80/1  1.23%
Francesco Molinari 100/1  0.99%
K.J. Choi 100/1  0.99%
Matteo Manassero 100/1  0.99%
Paul Casey 100/1  0.99%
Retief Goosen 100/1  0.99%
Robert Garrigus 100/1  0.99%
Russell Henley 100/1  0.99%
Aaron Baddeley 125/1  0.79%
Angel Cabrera 125/1  0.79%
Kyle Stanley 125/1  0.79%
Martin Laird 125/1  0.79%
Alvaro Quiros 150/1  0.66%
Ben Crane 150/1  0.66%
Charles Howell III 150/1  0.66%
David Toms 150/1  0.66%
Edoardo Molinari 150/1  0.66%
Fred Couples 150/1  0.66%
Fredrik Jacobson 150/1  0.66%
Gary Woodland 150/1  0.66%
John Senden 150/1  0.66%
Johnson Wagner 150/1  0.66%
Kevin Na 150/1  0.66%
Miguel Angel Jimenez 150/1  0.66%
Paul Lawrie 150/1  0.66%
Robert Karlsson 150/1  0.66%
Ryo Ishikawa 150/1  0.66%
Sang-Moon Bae 150/1  0.66%
Sean O'Hair 150/1  0.66%
Stewart Cink 150/1  0.66%
Thomas Bjorn 150/1  0.66%
Trevor Immelman 150/1  0.66%
Vijay Singh 150/1  0.66%
Y.E. Yang 150/1  0.66%
Darren Clarke 250/1  0.40%
Posted By The Original Golf Blogger

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