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Odds To Win The Masters - April 2, 2012

April 2, 2012

Tiger Woods and Rory McIlroy still are the bettors favorites to win the Masters, but since my last look in March, the two have essentially switched positions. On March 18, Rory was given a 20% chance of winning (4/1), with Tiger at 16.67% (5/1). Tiger’s convincing win at The Palmer convinced the bettors and he’s now the odds on favorite.

I’ve charted the movement below.

image

As you can see, Phil’s stock has fallen over the last month,  has has Adam Scott, Nick Watney, Sergio Garcia and Dustin Johnson. Watney, Garcia and Johnson, actually have fallen out of the top ten. Rising stock, however belongs to Luke Donald, Hunter Mahan, Charl Schwartzel, Keegan Bradley and Justin Rose.

The truth is, however, that this is anybody’s Master’s (anyone that is, but for the guys in at 1000/1 or worse. I don’t think I’ve actually seen odds that bad before. I feel like dropping ten bucks on Craig Stadler just to say I did). The list of guys with a realistic chance to win is long indeed: Woods, McIlroy, Mickelson, Westwood, Donald, Scott,Mahan, Bradley, Day, Garcia, Simpson and on and on. I feel as though this in fact be the most even the field has been in quite some time.

The complete betting odds for the 2012 Masters is below, courtesy of Bovada.lv. In addition to the fractional odds (10/1, et.al.), I’ve done the mathematical conversion to show the effective percentage chance to win.

Odds To Win The Masters 2012
Player Odds % To Win
Tiger Woods 4/1   20.00%
Rory McIlroy 5/1   16.67%
Phil Mickelson 11/1   8.33%
Luke Donald 16/1   5.88%
Lee Westwood 16/1   5.88%
Hunter Mahan 28/1   3.45%
Justin Rose 33/1   2.94%
Adam Scott 33/1   2.94%
Keegan Bradley 33/1   2.94%
Charl Schwartzel 33/1   2.94%
Jason Day 40/1   2.44%
Steve Stricker 40/1   2.44%
Bubba Watson 40/1   2.44%
Dustin Johnson 40/1   2.44%
Nick Watney 40/1   2.44%
Sergio Garcia 50/1   1.96%
Webb Simpson 50/1   1.96%
Martin Kaymer 50/1   1.96%
Graeme McDowell 66/1   1.49%
Matt Kuchar 66/1   1.49%
K.J. Choi 66/1   1.49%
Geoff Ogilvy 66/1   1.49%
Padraig Harrington 80/1   1.23%
Rickie Fowler 80/1   1.23%
Jim Furyk 80/1   1.23%
Angel Cabrera 80/1   1.23%
Bill Haas 80/1   1.23%
Brandt Snedeker 80/1   1.23%
Louis Oosthuizen 80/1   1.23%
Bo Van Pelt 80/1   1.23%
Ian Poulter 80/1   1.23%
Kyle Stanley 80/1   1.23%
Gary Woodland 100/1   0.99%
Trevor Immelman 100/1   0.99%
Zach Johnson 100/1   0.99%
Paul Casey 100/1   0.99%
Aaron Baddeley 125/1   0.79%
Alvaro Quiros 125/1   0.79%
Martin Laird 125/1   0.79%
Sean O'Hair 125/1   0.79%
Fred Couples 125/1   0.79%
Jason Dufner 125/1   0.79%
Y-E Yang 125/1   0.79%
Robert Karlsson 125/1   0.79%
Thomas Bjorn 125/1   0.79%
Johnson Wagner 125/1   0.79%
Francesco Molinari 125/1   0.79%
Henrik Stenson 125/1   0.79%
Ryo Ishikawa 125/1   0.79%
Vijay Singh 150/1   0.66%
Peter Hanson 150/1   0.66%
David Toms 150/1   0.66%
John Senden 150/1   0.66%
Sang-Moon Bae 150/1   0.66%
Charles Howell III 150/1   0.66%
Fredrik Jacobson 150/1   0.66%
Ben Crane 150/1   0.66%
Ryan Palmer 150/1   0.66%
Jonathan Byrd 175/1   0.57%
Mark Wilson 175/1   0.57%
Ross Fisher 200/1   0.50%
Miguel Angel Jimenez 200/1   0.50%
Kevin Na 200/1   0.50%
Simon Dyson 200/1   0.50%
Paul Lawrie 200/1   0.50%
Lucas Glover 200/1   0.50%
Kyung-Tae Kim 200/1   0.50%
Robert Garrigus 200/1   0.50%
Edoardo Molinari 200/1   0.50%
Rory Sabbatini 300/1   0.33%
Stewart Cink 300/1   0.33%
Jose Maria Olazabal 300/1   0.33%
Darren Clarke 300/1   0.33%
Anders Hansen 300/1   0.33%
Tim Clark 300/1   0.33%
Tom Watson 400/1   0.25%
Patrick Cantlay 400/1   0.25%
Gonzalo Fernandez 400/1   0.25%
Harrison Frazar 400/1   0.25%
Chez Reavie 400/1   0.25%
Scott Verplank 400/1   0.25%
Brendan Steele 400/1   0.25%
Bernhard Langer 400/1   0.25%
Mike Weir 500/1   0.20%
Hideki Matsuyama 500/1   0.20%
Kevin Chappell 500/1   0.20%
Scott Stallings 500/1   0.20%
Mark O'Meara 750/1   0.13%
Kelly Kraft 1000/1   0.10%
Bryden Macpherson 1000/1   0.10%
Larry Mize 1500/1   0.07%
Corbin Mills 1500/1   0.07%
Ian Woosnam 2500/1   0.04%
Sandy Lyle 2500/1   0.04%
Randal Lewis 2500/1   0.04%
Ben Crenshaw 5000/1   0.02%
Craig Stadler 5000/1   0.02%
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